Peak Oil is Nothing Compared to Peak Phosphorus

Believe it or not, peak phosphorus is probably our biggest global emergency, but I don’t hear anyone talking about it.

The problem

Phosphorus is one of the most the important elements of life. It is a major component of RNA, DNA, and ATP (the molecule produced by photosynthesis that carries energy to the other plant cells - which in turn provide us with energy).

Of the nutrients used as building blocks for life, the following elements all have gaseous phases at the temperatures and pressures found on the surface of the Earth and are therefore easily redistributed through the air:

  • Hydrogen
  • Oxygen
  • Carbon
  • Nitrogen
  • Sulfur

However, the following elements are solids or liquids and don’t move around so easily:

  • Phosphorus*
  • Sodium
  • Potasium
  • Calcium
  • …64 more

In a natural ecosystem or on a traditional small farm, plants take these molecules out of the soil and air to build themselves. Animals eat the plants and use the same molecules to construct their bodies. When the plants and animals die, microbes return the molecules to the soil. Lather, rinse, repeat.

On the other hand, with our current industrial agriculture system the plants do their part and take in the molecules they’re supposed to, but then we ship them to a feedlot or city where they are consumed and decay far away from where they originated. The molecules of the elements easily transported by air are replaced relatively easily, but the molecules of solid and liquid elements won’t make it back to the field they came from for a long, long time.

Phosphorus is more sensitive to this imbalance than the others because it is 10X more concentrated in the body than it is in the Earth’s crust. None of the others are more concentrated in living beings like that.

The phosphorus was originally put in the soil by weathering phosphate rocks. That’s still going on, but that process took millions of years to build up the reserves we used during the last century.

agr1490c_144_phosphate.jpg

To replace the missing phosphorus, we mine phosphate rock, grind it up, and sprinkle it on the soil for the plants to use as RNA, cell walls, etc. This seemed like a great idea when we figured it out 170 years ago. It continued seeming like a good idea all the way up until about 40 years ago when we started noticing the two big problems with this system:

Big Problem #1

Phosphorus that doesn’t get used is washed away by rain into rivers and eventually into the ocean. Phytoplankton (algae) in the ocean are very happy with their newfound abundance. They grow fat and reproduce prolifically. The problem comes when they die. As the algae is decaying, the bacteria breaking it down use too much of the oxygen dissolved in the water, killing everything else in that area.

La-Jolla-Red-Tide.780
Algae bloom near La Jolla

Big Problem #2

We’ve already used half of the phosphate rock available. According to a study by Patrick Dery peak phosphorus occurred in the US in 1988 and the rest of the world in 1989. Others think we’re still 30 years away from the peak, but it doesn’t matter who’s right. Either way, unless we change what we’re doing now, we will have depleted our supply of the central building block of life within a few hundred years of discovering it, and we do not know how to make more.

Peak_P_website
Chart from phosphorusfutures.net

Current uses of mined phosphate rock:

90% fertilizer.

5% animal feed supplements.

5% soft drinks, toothpaste, etc.

P_rock_price

phosphorusfutures.net

The Solution

Fortunately, the solution is easy. We did it for our first 100,000 years, and we’re the only creatures not currently doing it. The answer is eat, poo, and die in one place.

That doesn’t mean we all have to be farmers, but it does mean we need to be localvores and get over being sqweamish about the fact that we’re animals that are part of the web of life.

Plant food in your yard. Buy the food you don’t grow from local farmers. Insist on pasture raised meat. Compost every organic material you can find. Crap in a bucket. When it’s time to die, have yourself planted in the ground without preservatives so that a tree can build itself out of the molecules you’ve been using.

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16 Jan 2010

Guerrilla Public Service

Richard Ankrom grew tired of panicked drivers cutting across four lanes of traffic on the 110 trying to make the unmarked 5 exit in LA, and he did something about it. He created his own shield and letters out of aluminum, donned a Caltrans-ish orange vest, and installed the missing information himself.

gary_leonard_2.jpg

That was August, 2001. Ankrom’s helpful alteration remained until November of 2009 when Caltrans finally replaced the whole thing with an updated version, complete with Ankrom’s correction.

fwy01_09.jpg

:: good.is

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13 Jan 2010

Thanks a Lot Santa, You Prick

I thought coal was Santa’s punishment of choice, but this year he brought me food poisoning. I contend that he used an unreasonable definition of the word “naughty,” and my lawyers are appealing the decision.

See you in court fat man.

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27 Dec 2009

Food Inc.

This is the trailer. If you haven’t seen this movie, you need to.


2 minutes. Link to Video

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19 Dec 2009

There is No Speed Limit

Derek Sivers:

I met Kimo Williams when I was 17 - the summer after I graduated high school in Chicago, a few months before I was starting Berklee College of Music.

I called an ad in the paper by a recording studio, with a random question about music typesetting.

When the studio owner heard I was going to Berklee, he said, “I graduated from Berklee, and taught there for a few years, too. I’ll bet I can teach you two years’ of theory and arranging in only a few lessons. I suspect you can graduate in two years if you understand there’s no speed limit. Come by my studio at 9:00 tomorrow for your first lesson, if you’re interested. No charge.”

Read the rest at sivers.org

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01 Dec 2009

RepRap II

“Think of RepRap as a China on your desktop.”
- Chris DiBona, Open Source Programs Manager, Google

The new RepRap design looks much better. It’s significantly smaller, but can print larger objects. This video shows the new version on the left, and the old version on the right.


And here are the differences:


:: Singularity Hub

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01 Dec 2009

Driving Orientation

From Wikipedia. Click to zoom:

800px-countries_driving_on_the_left_or_rightsvg.png

Red = drive on the right
Blue = drive on the left

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27 Nov 2009

Timelapse of Our New House Being Built

I don’t think I’ve mentioned that we’re in the middle of building a new house. We started at the beginning of September and the roof went up this week. Here’s a timelapse of the progress so far. Notice the leaves changing:

2 minutes. Link to video

1 minute. Link to video

Pictures are here: thenauhaus.com

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20 Nov 2009

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